Miami Open 2025: Analysis of the draw. Favorable for Alcaraz, with Djokovic as a possible semifinal opponent

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Just after Indian Wells 2025, with the surprise of Jack Draper claiming the title, the players switch from the West Coast to the East to make an appearance at the Miami Open. The second Masters 1000 of the season comes at a time when some players like Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, or Novak Djokovic are in serious doubt after their performances in the California tournament. However, they have a second chance to redeem themselves before the start of the European clay court swing.

As it happened in Indian Wells, the big absentee in this edition will be Jannik Sinner, suspended for three months after reaching an agreement with the World Anti-Doping Agency due to his positive test for clostebol. Moreover, he is the reigning champion in Florida, so there will be a new winner in the tournament that has been held at the Hard Rock Stadium of the Miami Dolphins since 2021.

1st quarter

Alexander Zverev is once again the number one seed and hopes for a better performance than in Indian Wells, where he exited early after losing to Tallon Griekspoor. Despite this, he faces a tough draw. The German will start in Miami against Benjamin Bonzi or a qualifier. In the third round, he could meet the big server Mpesthi Perricarad. If he overcomes the Frenchman, Arthur Fils or Francis Tiafoe could be his potential opponents in the fourth round. In the quarterfinals, he might face opponents like Holger Rune, Tomas Machac, Alexei Popyrin, or the fresh Indian Wells champion, Jack Draper.

The British player, entering the top 10 for the first time, will be under the spotlight in Miami following his success in California. However, he will have to navigate a challenging draw. Initially, he will play against Jakub Mensik or Roberto Bautistas, setting a high-level start. Then, he might encounter Popyrin and possibly have a rematch of the Indian Wells final in the round of 16 against Holger Rune. In short, a very demanding top section of the draw.

2nd quarter

Taylor Fritz retains the third seed and will need to improve from his disappointing Indian Wells performance to face tough potential opponents. His journey starts against Lorenzo Sonego or Mariano Navone, followed by matchups like Shapolalov in the third round or Hurkacz and Shelton in the round of 16. In the quarterfinals, he could meet De Minaur, Berretini, Humbert, or Rublev. The semifinals could set up a clash with Zverev, Draper, or Rune. Fritz must step up his game to excel on home soil.

3rd quarter

Meanwhile, Novak Djokovic arrives in Miami with uncertainties after a poor showing in Indian Wells. He will kick off against Hamad Medjedovic or Rinky Hijkata. The third round might see him against Alex Michelsen. The real challenge begins from the round of 16, where he could face Auger-Aliassime or Lorenzo Musetti. As he progresses, in the quarterfinals, he might confront Stefanos Tsitsipas or Medvedev, followed by a potential semifinal against Alcaraz.

4th quarter

Carlos Alcaraz seeks redemption after his disappointing semifinal in Indian Wells, where he clinched his first Masters 1000 title in 2022. However, to repeat that feat, he must navigate a draw that, while less demanding than others, still poses challenges.

The young Murcian will start in Florida against the winner of the match between David Goffin and Aleksander Vukic. If successful, he could face Brandon Nakashima in the third round. Challenges intensify in the round of 16, where he might meet Dimitrov again. Despite defeating him emphatically last week in California, Dimitrov also handed Alcaraz a heavy defeat in the quarterfinals last year. Therefore, Alcaraz must proceed with caution. Potential quarterfinal opponents include players like Casper Ruud, Tommy Paul, or Fran Cerúndolo. In the semifinals, Novak Djokovic may await in a quest for revenge from the Australian Open. Other challengers could be Medvedev, Tsitsipas, or other rivals.

In conclusion, a favorable path for the Spaniard, but he must display a more consistent and complete performance from the round of 16 onward if he aims to win his second Miami Open title.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Miami Open 2025: Análisis del cuadro. Favorable para Alcaraz, con Djokovic como posible rival en semifinales