Analysis of the semifinals at ATP Finals 2024: Sinner and Zverev are the favorites

We reveal the keys that can determine the development of the two semifinal matches in an ATP Finals 2024 full of incentives.

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 16 Nov 2024 | 01.01
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Alexander Zverev, at the ATP Finals 2024. Photo: gettyimages
Alexander Zverev, at the ATP Finals 2024. Photo: gettyimages

Excitement and great tennis are guaranteed. That's what is expected from the two semifinal matches in the ATP Finals 2024, where Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev are the favorites and will try to thwart the rebellious spirits of Casper Ruud and Taylor Fritz. Let's delve deeply into the tactical keys that could influence the outcome of these matches.

Only two matches to reach glory. The accumulated fatigue in this final stretch of the season is no less than the excitement and eagerness to triumph in these ATP Finals 2024. A Saturday full of emotions is looming in Turin, with Jannik Sinner trying to capitalize on his favoritism, just like Alexander Zverev who arrives with great confidence. It won't be easy for either Casper Ruud or Taylor Fritz, both eager for the opportunity to push their limits.

- Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz, an intimate and unpredictable duel

It would be foolish to deny that Alexander Zverev has secured the role of the top favorite, but the events in his previous matches against the American create a sense of uncertainty. What is clear is that the German will enter this clash full of confidence after securing three impressive victories in the group stage, not dropping a set and showcasing exquisite tennis, reminiscent of when he became a master years ago.

On the other hand, Taylor Fritz is treading unfamiliar ground by reaching these semifinals and aims to keep exploring. The American's progress this season is more than notable, and he seems to have the necessary energy to seek the icing on the cake. With nothing to lose, he arrives with the confidence of having won the three previous encounters against his opponent.

Tactical keys and head-to-head between Zverev and Fritz (5-6)

Serve will be a decisive factor for both, as well as their ability to be aggressive with the first strike. An encounter is expected where opportunities to break serve will be scarce, so both will need to be very alert to capitalize on any chance. When the ball is in play, both will look to position themselves near the baseline to dictate play with their shots, with the American needing to figure out how to establish forehand-to-forehand rallies.

The most intriguing fact is that Fritz leads the head-to-head by 5-6, having won the last three encounters between them. Those victories occurred at Wimbledon, the US Open, and the Laver Cup. Zverev also managed to defeat Fritz this year at the Foro Itálico, but the feeling is that Taylor's ball speed and versatility trouble Zverev a lot, requiring him to bring his best if he wants to prevail.

- Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud, a new test for an impregnable giant

Thinking about a defeat for Jannik Sinner seems almost impossible. The Italian's season is astonishing, and every tournament he competes in lays the foundation for a legendary career in the making. His feelings in Turin are excellent, with the support of the crowd and a good rapport with the court. He convincingly defeated De Miñaur, Fritz, and Medvedev, conveying the sense that he still has another gear to shift into.

As for how Casper Ruud approaches this clash, it's worth noting that he has been a significant surprise because, based on his performance in recent months, no one expected him to reach the semifinals. He took advantage of Alcaraz's weakness in the first match and competed honorably against Zverev and Rublev, showing that he excels in a tournament where he has always reached at least the penultimate round every time he has competed.

Tactical keys and head-to-head between Sinner and Ruud (2-0)

The final result seems to depend entirely on how comfortable Sinner feels, as his shot power and game consistency exceed those of the Norwegian. Ruud will need to rely on being very accurate with the initial shots of each point, seize the initiative, and take risks with his forehand, minimizing backhand-to-backhand rallies where he would be outmatched by Jannik's depth and power in his shots.

One player being in superb form while the other is far from his best seems to be the only remedy to give hope to a Casper who has yet to experience victory over Jannik. Their two previous encounters were in 2020 and 2021, both in Vienna, ending in straight-set wins for the Italian. It will be interesting to see how the improved styles of both players compared to those distant matches.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis de las semifinales en ATP Finals 2024: Sinner y Zverev parten como favoritos