Analysis of the 2024 Davis Cup Final: Italy Vs Netherlands

Italy is the clear favorite and will seek its third salad bowl against the surprise of the week, the Dutch, who would win their first title

Óscar Belloch | 23 Nov 2024 | 22.18
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Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini at the 2024 Davis Cup. Photo: Getty
Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini at the 2024 Davis Cup. Photo: Getty

The last moments of the ATP season are here with the grand final of the 2024 Davis Cup. The Italian team, led by Jannik Sinner, will seek to be the proud champion of their third salad bowl, and second consecutive, against the Netherlands, who are the surprise of the week after defeating Spain in the quarterfinals and Germany in the semifinals.

The Netherlands secured their spot in the 2024 Davis Cup finals dramatically in the group stage, and by believing in themselves, they have made it to the grand final, the second in their history. If they win, it would be their first team title. On the other hand, Italy is in the spotlight and positioned as the clear favorite, but to lift the title, they must first play. Let's review the possible matchups and each team's chances.

- The great possibility for the Netherlands

Botic Van de Zandschulp will likely play the first match of the tie against Matteo Berrettini. The Italian is not in his best form, but these fast courts greatly favor his game based on a powerful serve. His chances against Van de Zandschulp are high, although the Dutch know that if they want to have a chance to win the salad bowl, they must overcome this match. Botic must try to exploit Matteo's weaknesses on the backhand and play from the baseline. However, the head-to-head clearly favors the Italian, who has won all four of their encounters.

- Italy, with a virtually secured point

One should never underestimate their opponents, especially when they are in the top 40 in the world. Tallon Griekspoor has shown that he can compete with the big names, but he has also shown his worst side by dramatically losing matches that were either close or in his favor against top stars. He will face Jannik Sinner, who is in fantastic form, and if all goes as expected, he will once again display a high level in the match against Griekspoor. The head-to-head between them says it all, as Sinner has won all five matches they have played.

Which version of both players will we see? Sinner excels in big moments and knows he has a whole team and a country behind him, so it doesn't seem like he will falter with the experience he carries. On the other hand, Tallon is characterized by his game based on extreme power in many situations, especially when he feels tense or nervous. He is a solid, consistent player with a good variety of shots, but struggles to maintain this in crucial points.

- The big unknown: the doubles

It's possible that the doubles match might not be played, but if it happens, it would be a decisive encounter that could determine the title for one team or the other. One of the pairs is clear, as Botic Van de Zandschulp will team up with Wesley Koolhof, who showed spectacular form in the match against Spain despite it being his final week as an active player. This duo is dangerous and has experience, but the uncertainty lies in Italy's choice of partners.

Vagnozzi's team has two specialists who regularly play together on the circuit, Simone Bolelli and Andrea Vavassori, both seasoned players who would know how to handle the circumstances. However, Italy already faced a decisive doubles match against Argentina and the Italians decided to go with Sinner and Berrettini as a pair. It worked out well, and it's likely that Vagnozzi will entrust them with the responsibility if the same situation arises in the final, although deciding not to use your specialists when they are most needed remains surprising.

The 2024 Davis Cup final will take place tomorrow, Sunday, November 24, and two singles matches will be played. If each team wins one match, the decisive doubles will be played.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis de la final de la Copa Davis 2024: Italia Vs Países Bajos